DZ20221219

 

The Central Economic Working Conference

*The Central Economic Working Conference was held during Dec 15th to 16th and some key takeaways as follow. 1) overall deepen reform and opening up with integration of domestic demand expansion and structural reform of supply. Stable growth, employment and product price will be maintained, major risk to be effectively prevented to realize reasonable growth with quality. 2) active fiscal policy and stable monetary policy to be implemented with macro policy adjustment to be enhanced to keep controllable debt risk and maintain abundant liquidity. 3) Expansion of domestic demand to be prioritized with residential income to be increased. 4) Housing is for living rather than speculation. 5) development of digital economy is under supports with normalized supervision to be improved. 6) renovation and upgrade of traditional industries to be promoted along with cultivation of strategic emerging industries for virtuous cycle of tech, industry and finance.

 

Financials

*Financial stability law already entered legislative process and likely to be issued in 2023, which to play a significant role in prevention of financial risk, said by vice head of PBoC.

 

Industrial Economy

*NDRC suggested pork price has exited alert range of excessive price hike after weekly retail price gained lower than 30% y/y during Dec 5th to 9th.

*National Energy Administration: China coal capacity in Jan-Nov of 4.09bn ton, up 9.7% y/y and by 360mio ton, to new high for record.

*National Energy Administration: China total capacity of power installment around 2.51bn kw as of end-Nov, up 8.1% y/y. Wind power installment contributed around 350mio kw, up 15.1% y/y and solar power installment accounts for around 370mio kw, up 29.4% y/y.

 

*Dec 16th Block Trade

*Block Trade Info

*Discount

- Zhongji Innolight Co. (300308 CH) saw 8 block trades worth 99mn at 26.09 yuan per share, 6.11 discount from last closing.

- Avic Jonhon Optronic Tech (002179 CH)saw 1 block trade worth 54mn at 56.47 yuan per share, 2.89 discount from last closing.

- Weifang Rainbow Chemical Co. (301035 CH) saw 1 block trade worth 83mn at 71.77 yuan per share, 19.97 discount from last closing.

- Red Star Macalline (601828 CH) saw 6 block trades worth 23mn at 4.72 yuan per share, 10.61 discount from last closing.

- Meijin Energy Co. (000723 CH) saw 2 block trades worth 50mn at 9.22 yuan per share, 2.02 discount from last closing.

- Montage Technology Co. (688008 CH) saw 7 block trades worth 32mn at 60.6 yuan per share, 7.34 discount from last closing.

*Premium

- Will Semiconductor Co. (603501 CH) saw 1 block trade worth 37mn at 85 yuan per share, 2.13 premium from last closing.

- Telling Telecommunication Holding Co. (000829 CH) saw 2 block trades worth 81mn at 10.79 yuan per share, 4.15 premium from last closing.
 

*Margin Trade

Total Margin Balance

1.4772 trillion

Total Short Selling Balance

95.3 billion

SH Margin Balance

0.7747 trillion

SH Short Selling Balance

59.4billion

Top Five Margin Trade Net Bought (in CNY)

Top Five Short Selling Net Sold (in shares)

600048

69mio

512480

9.46mio

603906

63mio

560010

9.37mio

688172

62mio

600313

8.48mio

588000

54mio

512800

7.89mio

601003

50mio

600919

5.38mio

SZ Margin Balance

0.6971 trillion

SZ Short Selling Balance

35.2 billion

Top Five Margin Trade Net Bought (in CNY)

Top Five Short Selling Net Sold (in shares)

000756

194mio

300459

3.03mio

000301

175mio

000755

2.46mio

002579

117mio

002078

2.00mio

002385

106mio

000301

1.7mio

002317

101mio

002340

0.95mio

 

*Connection Trade

SH-HK Connection (bn cny)

SZ-HK Connection (bn cny)

Northbound Net Cash Flow

+4.0

Northbound Net Cash Flow

+0.3

Southbound Net Cash Flow

-0.9

Southbound Net Cash Flow

-0.6

Top 5 Northbound Inflow

Top 5 Northbound Outflow

Name

Market Value (mio cny)

‰ out of ttl share outstanding

Name

Market Value (mio cny)

‰ out of ttl share outstanding

600519

852

0.38

002460

213

2.25

000858

619

0.88

600438

160

0.86

601318

303

0.6

300750

156

0.19

600036

286

0.38

002466

140

1.09

600009

264

4.04

002738

111

3.44

 

*Index Futures

Position of Top 20 members (Unit lots)

CSI 300 Index Futures

Trading Volume

Change*

Long OI

Change*

Short OI

Change*

IF2212

42,240

-35,314

0

-16,794

0

-15,204

IF2301

98,222

30,673

63,033

15,920

72,526

18,752

IF2303

32,162

7,924

51,825

3,686

61,352

3,919

IF2306

8,752

1,030

19,984

601

28,844

1,344

SSE 50 Index Futures

Trading Volume

Change*

Long OI

Change*

Short OI

Change*

IH2212

29,144

-25,768

0

-10,406

0

-7,786

IH2301

63,503

12,869

45,299

8,490

56,899

9,410

IH2303

21,403

521

29,702

1,753

38,908

1,844

IH2306

7,398

1,989

8,587

1,165

12,483

1,546

CSI 500 Index Futures

Trading Volume

Change*

Long OI

Change*

Short OI

Change*

IC2212

38,242

-27,347

0

-13,721

0

-15,280

IC2301

81,045

25,659

81,381

14,568

77,439

13,582

IC2303

28,833

3,182

98,157

1,779

94,056

1,000

IC2306

15,261

3,352

65,678

4,068

71,453

3,833

CSI 1000 Index Futures

Trading Volume

Change*

Long OI

Change*

Short OI

Change*

IM2212

21,873

-13,364

0

-6,489

0

-6,065

IM2301

46,894

14,752

34,291

8,296

36,846

9,091

IM2303

19,423

3,674

34,085

779

36,451

933

IM2306

8,382

1,208

23,361

1,379

28,368

1,653

 

*Index Options

Position of Top 20 members (Unit lots)

CSI 300 Index Options

Trading Volume

Change*

Long OI

Change*

Short OI

Change*

IO2212

124243

-25573

0

-33667

0

-36678

IO2301

72564

31747

48498

6145

46302

6168

CSI 1000 Index Options

Trading Volume

Change*

Long OI

Change*

Short OI

Change*

MO2212

80902

-15907

0

-16578

0

-19782

MO2301

37739

37739

18247

18247

19522

19522

 

*Treasury Futures

Position of Top 20 members (Unit lots)

2-Year Treasury Bond Futures

Trading Volume

Change*

Long OI

Change*

Short OI

Change*

TS2303

72,783

-8,700

33,936

696

38,157

732

5-Year Treasury Bond Futures

Trading Volume

Change*

Long OI

Change*

Short OI

Change*

TF2303

91,079

-28,748

79,561

-1,623

80,560

-1,925

10-Year Treasury Bond Futures

Trading Volume

Change*

Long OI

Change*

Short OI

Change*

T2303

107,547

-42,326

130,514

-459

128,920

-605

T2306

8,651

-5,083

10,586

190

11,047

46

 

*Night Session Commodities Market (As of 02:30 am)

Top 3 Gainers (Dominant Contract)

Product

Contract

Price

Change %

Trading Volume

Open Interests

Rapeseed Meal

RM305

3,048.0

+0.83%

228,844

402,596

Soybean Meal

M2305

3,782.0

+0.69%

316,241

1,058,813

Gold

AU2302

404.2

+0.47%

58,390

145,301

Top 3 Loser (Dominant Contract)

Product

Contract

Price

Change %

Trading Volume

Open Interests

Coke

J2305

2,768.5

-4.17%

22,101

28,632

Fuel Oil

FU2305

2,470.0

-4.04%

658,394

487,733

Coking Coal

JM2305

1,911.0

-3.56%

38,913

74,897

 

Commodities (night session):

* Global crude oil price closed down collectively. January NYMEX contract down 2.12% to closed at $74.50/b, February Brent contract down 2.44% to closed at $79.23/b. INE crude oil active contract down 2.27% to closed at 524.5 yuan/b.

* Precious metals closed up collectively. COMEX gold contract up 0.85% to closed at $1803/oz. SHFE gold active contract up 0.47% to closed at 404.24 yuan/gram.

* Metals closed down mostly, LME zinc down 3.5%, LME lead down 0.35%, LME aluminum down 0.21%. SHFE zinc down 1.59%, bonded copper down 1.06%, SHFE copper down 0.69%, SHFE aluminum down 0.32%.

* Commodity futures closed down collectively. Energy & chemistry futures saw weak performance, fuel oil down 4.04%, soda ash down 2.39%, glass down 2.25%, PVC down 1.62%, bleached softwood kraft pulp down 1.41%. Black series closed down collectively, coke down 4.17%, coking coal down 3.56%, hot-rolled coil down 3.07%, steel rebar down 2.83%, iron ore down 2.73%. Agricultural products closed mixed, cotton down 2.15%, rapeseed oil down 1.94%, RBD palm olein down 1.55%, soybean oil down 1.48%, cotton yarn down 1.32%.

 

 

Download PDF

 

 

DISCLAIMER

The report is issued by Orient Securities Co. LTD (Orient Securities) and Shanghai Orient Futures Co. LTD (Orient Futures) to institutional investors. Opinions expressed may differ from those of other divisions of Orient Securities, including Orient Securities Research Institute. Orient Securities may trade as principal in instruments identified herein and may accumulate/have accumulated a long or short position in instruments or derivatives thereof. Orient Securities has policies designed to negate conflicts of interest. This e-mail is not an official confirmation of terms and unless stated, is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell. Any prices or quotations contained herein are indicative only. Communications may be monitored.